Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 346.166667 395.002309 450.110777 517.270153 597.397546 690.547634 807.927739
2024-12-22 269.772027 330.941186 406.631152 508.569118 644.437236 822.472036 1078.842943
2024-12-29 231.749572 297.763270 384.488432 509.396966 689.213016 946.130954 1355.401563
2025-01-05 201.365442 267.851766 359.253190 497.932754 710.195122 1035.756045 1600.821792
2025-01-12 180.934308 247.864577 343.525800 495.421760 740.984466 1142.861905 1899.247551
2025-01-19 158.999360 222.705075 316.489646 470.726780 731.027235 1179.800497 2082.892503
2025-01-26 151.941699 218.349231 319.534187 492.988335 801.242350 1367.780884 2608.393852
2025-02-02 147.383956 217.061697 326.811966 522.750015 889.390749 1608.740839 3331.010111
2025-02-09 137.904655 206.943263 318.497734 524.066527 924.783656 1753.730763 3891.987622
2025-02-16 127.021217 193.485200 303.102728 510.363357 928.201784 1831.742186 4316.582955
2025-02-23 118.004010 182.290932 290.385593 499.829443 935.974083 1920.904207 4809.142380
2025-03-02 113.653456 178.521180 290.135709 512.874864 995.430529 2145.534526 5806.298283
2025-03-09 107.662689 171.629739 283.980056 514.228355 1031.418015 2327.510489 6790.420422
2025-03-16 100.620672 162.365651 272.670300 503.793346 1039.032455 2439.390822 7607.587857
2025-03-23 95.756422 156.561157 267.207941 504.747882 1073.770462 2636.554369 8886.658426
2025-03-30 89.880401 148.473345 256.651516 493.403566 1076.111228 2740.946283 9861.765143
2025-04-06 85.551608 142.906005 250.478954 490.921760 1100.725161 2922.026828 11339.861356
2025-04-13 79.213801 133.179799 235.332474 466.504378 1063.301170 2893.848671 11766.711307
2025-04-20 78.219585 133.436486 240.145803 488.515796 1156.389923 3336.171517 15181.062322
2025-04-27 77.907531 134.954717 247.644293 517.938725 1277.658150 3934.349292 20422.471116
2025-05-04 74.997385 131.199413 243.803155 519.240141 1316.393022 4236.853659 24137.195129
2025-05-11 71.016548 125.080235 234.463942 505.693644 1306.927548 4341.130745 26480.250563
2025-05-18 67.580949 119.853640 226.674873 495.279471 1305.758459 4483.175137 29434.353563